Tuesday 09/08/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday 09/08/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (+120, 9)

Brewers righthander Manny Parra has struggled with consistency and control all season. But for some reason, he seems to put it all together against the Cardinals.

In four starts against the NL Central leaders, Parra is 2-1 with a 2.42 ERA - more than four earned runs lower than his season mark. He has allowed just one homer in 26 innings vs. the Cardinals compared to one every 5.7 innings against everyone else.

In his last start at St. Louis, Parra stopped the Cardinals on two runs and five hits over 6 1-3 innings of a 4-3 win.

The Brewers have been held under three runs in their last four games, their longest such stretch of the season.

Pick: Milwaukee


San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants (-260, 6.5)

In Giants righthander Tim Lincecum's last 10 starts, the total has been 7.0 or less seven times and has never been higher than 8.0.

Although the under window appears to be virtually closed when the Cy Young candidate takes the hill, the total still has come in under eight times in that span.

Lincecum is 3-3 with a 2.97 ERA and 84 strikeouts in 72 2-3 innings during that span. He has had better 10-start stretches this season, but at no time has he pitched more effectively against the total, nor have the totals been consistently as low.

Lincecum's mound foe is Kevin Correia, who pitched 7 2-3 scoreless innings in his last start and is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts this season against his former team.

The teams have played under the total in six of their last eight meetings.

Pick: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Pedro Martinez (3-0, 3.52 ERA), Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies expected a lift when they signed the veteran righthander, but no one in the organization could have imagined a spotless record after five starts.

Philadelphia has won all five games started by Martinez, who has had two abbreviated outings but appears to be getting stronger. He allowed one run and five hits with nine strikeouts in seven innings in his last start, outdueling Tim Lincecum.

"You can see that he knows what he's doing and he's not just winging it up there hoping that he's getting outs," Lincecum told the Phillies' web site. "He's pitching with a purpose. He knows how to get guys out."

Martinez has 23 strikeouts and just three walks in 23 innings.

Brian Duensing (2-1, 3.81), Minnesota Twins

The Twins might have a better chance of catching the Detroit Tigers in the AL Central if they had showed more patience with their rookie lefthander as a starter, which has been his role since entering the organization in 2005.

Called up for good in early July, Duensing did mop-up relief work before being given a start July 29. He allowed two homers in five innings and was sent back to the pen, where he again was ineffective.

In 30 1-3 innings as a reliever, Duensing had 20 strikeouts, 16 walks and three homers allowed.

Duensing got another start Aug. 22 and has stayed in the rotation. In three starts, he is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA. In 19 innings, he has 18 strikeouts, four walks and no homers allowed.


Returning

Bruce Chen (1-6, 5.24), Kansas City Royals

The veteran lefthander won his first game in nearly four years on Aug. 6, then was bumped from the rotation when Gil Meche returned from back spasms.

Chen has made five relief appearances since, allowing at least a run in each but stretching out to work four innings with 70 pitches on Sept. 2.

After pitching just 10 total innings in 2007 and 2008 due to arm problems, Chen is 1-6 with a 5.40 ERA as a starter this season, allowing opposing hitters to hit .304.


Slumping

Rick VandenHurk (2-2, 4.91), Florida Marlins

The 6-5 righthander has alternated good and bad starts in his last four outings and is due for a bad one.

On Aug. 5 at Washington, he gave up three homers and five earned runs in four innings. On Aug. 16 vs. Colorado, he surrendered three homers and six earned runs.

since returning in late July from elbow surgery, VandenHurk has been ripped for nine homers in just 36 2-3 innings.

Billy Buckner (2-6, 8.29), Arizona Diamondbacks

The righthander's last start marked his return from a mid-season demotion, but he picked up where he left off, losing his fifth straight outing.

During that stretch, Buckner has an 11.09 ERA, a 2.01 WHIP and has given up seven homers in 24 1-3 innings, including at least one in each start.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vernon Croy

MLB | Sep 08
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
-108 at 5DIMES > 19h.
1* Take the Toronto Blue Jays on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and I look for Ricky Romero (11-7, 4.15 ERA) to have a solid start against the Twins who are just 2-8 in their last 10 games against a left hand starter. Romero pitched well in his only start against the Twins this season which was at the Metrodome where he allowed 8 hits and just 2 earned runs over 8 innings. The Twins are just 14-38 in their last 52 road games when facing a lefty starter and the Blue Jays are 9-4 in Romero's last 13 starts with just 4 days rest. The Jays are 36-17 in their last 53 games against an AL Central division opponent and the Twins are just 1-7 in their last 8 games played at Rogers Center. Take the Toronto Blue Jays as my MLB Bonus Play for Tuesday night.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

MLB | Sep 08
Seattle Mariners vs. LAA Angels Total
8 un-109 at 5DIMES > 22h.
Smoke gets in your eyes! A pair of aces on the hill here. Seattle comes to town with a weak offense, 26th in all of baseball in runs scored. At least they have an ace going in Feliz Hernandez, who is 14-5 with a 2.65 ERA, fanning 185 in 193 innings. LA lefty Scott Kazmir has been a fine addition, with a 2.29 ERA his last three starts. He has just 4 walks and 22 Ks in those starts! Play the Mariners/Angels under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rob Vinciletti

MLB | Sep 08
St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
+123 at 5DIMES > 20h.
On Tuesday the Bonus Play is on the Milwaukee Brewers. Game 910 at 8:05 eastern. The Cardinals fit a negative system of mine tonight. What we want to do is play against certain road teams off a road favored win at 200 or more, if the total was eight or less and our team was at home and had four or less hits. These road teams are just 3-10 straight up.
The Cardinals may be one of the best teams in baseball,however they are just 4-10 this year in the second game of a road series if they won game one. This game is a rematch from September third. In that game the Brewers beat the Cards on the road 4-3. John Smoltz makes the start tonight and he has a 7.76 road era this season. He allowed 4 runs in 6 innings in that home start vs the Brewers a few days ago. Milwaukee will counter with M.Parra tonight. In his three starts vs the Cardinals he has been solid. Parra has pitched 20 innings allowing just five earned runs. He went six innings allowing just two runs in last weeks game. Look for the Brewers bats to bounce back today.
On the late phone front I have the American League Game of the month. This play is backed with a 98% Dominator system and two Power angles. Jump on this big play now and cash out tonight. Top plays have been solid all year in Baseball. Take the Brewers tonight as the Bonus Play.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DC Riley

Indiana Fever -2.5 (-110)
Tues Sept 08 ’09 7:30pm ET
Indiana @ New York
Play On: Indiana Fever

The WNBA season is quickly coming to an end and we have two teams in complete opposite positions in the Eastern Conference. The Indiana Fever at 21-10 is the best in the WNBA East clinching the Conference Title. The New York Liberty at 12-19 rank last in the division and have missed a much coveted playoff berth. With only a week or so away from the playoffs I really see no reason why the Fever cannot continue to win down the stretch playing a solid balanced team effort. Winning there last game 72-61 against Washington was a statement to the conference that they will not let up after slipping 2-7SU Last 7 after being a terrific 17-8SU Last 25. Against the Liberty in historic Madison Square Gardens the Indiana Fever have faired well winning 6 of 8 and covering 4 of 6.

I fully expect the New York Liberty to play hard and push the pace but with the Liberty playing the bench and rookies like 6’4 Center Kia Vaughn in recent games I see them making to main key mistakes against the Fever who rank 1st in the league in steals and who have a huge advantage in rebounding and overall team chemistry. Let’s take the better team looking to run a tight ship to mimic there soon to be playoff performance for a road fav’ cover.

WNBA Free Pick: Indiana Fever -2.5 (-110)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence MLB! - Tuesday 9/8

Play On: Minnesota w/Duensing vs Romero

Note: The Twins look to stay in playoff contention when they send rookie flash Brian Duensing to the hill against fellow rookie Ricky Romero north of the border in Toronto tonight. Duensing takes the hill 3-1 with a 1.88 ERA in his team starts for the Twins this season. He's also in great KW form with 4 walks and 18 strikeouts in his last three starts. Meanwhile, Romero has dropped 6 of his last 7 team starts with a 6.36 ERA as he appears to have hit the rookie wall. Back the better team with the better arm here tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brad Diamond Sports MLB Selection

Play on: (909) St. Louis (Smoltz) over Milwaukee

Tuesday, I will take a small ticket on the visiting Cardinals in their battle with division rival Milwaukee. Restructuring John Smoltz is going for the Cardinals, so the first place contingent has an edge on-deck. St. Louis is 8-2 on the road versus a winning team and 4-0 in game #2 of a series. Finally, St. Louis is 4 of 5 in this series of late.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(921) MINNESOTA TWINS
(922) TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Take "(921) MINNESOTA TWINS"

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Craig Trapp

MLB | Sep 08
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Detroit Tigers
-160 at 5DIMES > 12h.
DET -160: Get in early as this line is surely to end up over 170. Play a small R/L wager and double on M/L for today.

DET has been nails lately winning 6 in a row which included a weekend sweep of TB on the road. Also today they have there young stud Rookie Porcello on the mound. He has seemed to catch his second win as he has been great his last two outtings both wins. He has split his games against KC this season going 12 innings and only allowing 6 runs. This should be enough today as DET's lineup has been playing very well putting up very strong numbers.

KC on the other hand has been horrible since the break. Recently they have lost 7 of last 10 and have not won back to back games since late July and are an even worse 5-20 at home since the All-Star break. Today they turn to Chen to try and turn there hopes around. He is coming off his only win of the season and first since 2005. This year he is a dismal 1-6 and today can't imagine any way he gets win #2. This lineup won't help him as they are ice cold. Scoring only 4 runs in last three games. Worst hitting team in majors without a doubt.

Take the R/L small and double down on M/L for DET!!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jordan Haimowitz

MLB | Sep 08
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
-1½-102 at 5DIMES > 11h.
Haimo's Hot Notes:

Boston are 20-7 in their last 27 games as a favorite
Baltimore are 7-29 in the last 36 meetings in Boston
Baltimore are 17-55 in the last 72 meetings

The Nation owns this team, Enjoy!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB WRITE-UP

Tuesday, September 8

Hot Pitchers
-- Phillies are 5-0 when Martinez starts (3-0, 3.52).
-- Redding is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
-- Smoltz is 1-1, 2.65 in three starts for the Cardinals.
-- Padres won five of last six Correia starts (3-1, 3.32). Lincecum has a 2.05 RA in his last three starts.

-- Hunter is 4-1, 3.89 in his last six starts. McCarthy is 3-0, 2.84 in his last four starts.
-- Bronx won both Gaudin starts (0-0, 3.38) even though he lasted total of only eight innings in the two starts.
-- Buchholz is 2-0, 2.51 in his last couple starts.
-- Porcello is 3-1, 3.05 in his last seven starts.
-- Tomko is 2-1, 3.63 in four starts for Oakland. White Sox are 3-0 when Torres starts (1-0, 3.86).
-- Duensing is 2-0, 1.88 in four starts this season.
-- Kazmir has a 2.70 RA in his last three starts. FHernandez is 2-0, 1.23 in his last three home starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Lannan is 0-2, 8.64 in his last five starts.
-- Duke is 1-5, 6.31 in his last six starts. Cubs are 3-11 on the road this season when Dempster starts.
-- Vanden Hurk is 1-2, 7.32 in his last four starts.
-- Paulino is 0-3, 11.68 in his last three starts.
-- Parra has 7.59 RA in his last nine starts (Brewers 6-3 in nine games).
-- Vazquez is 1-2, 4.85 in his last four starts.
-- Maloney is 0-3, 6.46 in four starts for the Reds. Marquis is 2-4, 4.59 in his last eight starts.
-- Buckner is 0-5, 11.41 in his last five starts. Billingsley is 0-3, 5.82 in his last three outings.

-- Laffey is 0-1, 5.21 in his last three starts. Carrasco allowed six runs in three IP in his first Cleveland start.
-- Price is 2-3, 4.70 in his last five starts.
-- Romero is 1-2, 8.38 in his last four starts.
-- Orioles lost last four DHernandez starts (0-2, 6.64).
-- Chen is 1-6, 5.52 in eight starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won 14 of their last 18 games.
-- Marlins won four of their last five games.
-- Astros won their last four games, allowing ten runs.
-- Reds won seven of their last eight games. Rockies won six of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last six road games.
-- Padres won nine of their last thirteen games. Giants won seven of their last eight home games.

-- Bronx won 20 of its last 27 games.
-- Tigers won their last six games, scoring 33 runs.
-- White Sox won five of their last six games.
-- Twins won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Angels won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Phllies lost five of their last six games. Nationals lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Pirates lost ten of their last eleven games. Cubs lost 11 of their last 16 road games.
-- Mets lost 12 of their last 18 games.
-- Braves lost their last five games, scoring 11 runs.
-- Brewers are 4-7 in their last eleven home games.
-- Arizona lost its last five games, outscored 33-14.

-- Orioles are 8-17 in their last 25 road games. Red Sox lost three of their last four games.
-- Indians lost six of their last nine games. Rangers are 5-7 in their last 12 road games.
-- Rays lost their last six games, allowing 38 runs.
-- Blue Jays lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Royals lost 13 of their last 18 games.
-- Oakland lost five of its last seven road games.
-- Mariners are 4-7 in their last eleven road games.

Totals
-- Ten of Phillies' last twelve games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Cubs' last nine games.
-- Four of last five Florida games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 14-7 in Milwaukee's last 21 home games; under is 6-2-1 in Cardinals' last nine road games.
-- Under is 10-3-2 in last fifteen Cincinnati road games.
-- Under is 6-1-3 in last ten Arizona games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten San Francisco games.

-- Last seven Texas road games stayed under the total.
-- 10 of last 14 Bronx home games stayed under the total.
-- Last eleven Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Baltimore road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Detroit road games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 14 White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-6 in Seattle's last sixteen games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trend Report

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
Chi Cubs are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of NY Yankees's last 25 games at home

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. CLEVELAND
Texas is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Texas is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas
Cleveland is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:07 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TORONTO
Minnesota is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Boston
Baltimore is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
FLORIDA vs. NY METS
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Mets's last 17 games when playing Florida

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. HOUSTON
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. MILWAUKEE
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:11 PM
OAKLAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland's last 11 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Oakland is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games at home

8:40 PM
CINCINNATI vs. COLORADO
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

9:40 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Dodgers are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

10:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
Seattle is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 15-8 SU in their last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of LA Angels's last 23 games at home

10:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games
San Francisco is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Diego
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

phillies -159

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Nover

Tommy Hunter is having an excellent season for Texas. He's 7-3 with a 3.14 ERA. He's been at his best on the road with a 2-1 mark and 2.20 ERA.

The Indians are averaging three runs per game in their last seven games. They have lost Grady Sizemore for the season.

I'm expecting Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco to pitch much better in his second big league start than he did in his debut on Tuesday at Detroit when the Tigers smacked him around. Carrasco was a good prospect for the Phillies. He was dealt to the Indians as part of the Cliff Lee deal.

Carrasco should be more relaxed in his second outing, especially pitching at home. Carrasco was overpumped for his debut and wasn't locating his fastball well. But he did display potential with his slider and changeup. He has a hot closer to back him up. Kerry Wood has a 2.45 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings since the All-Star break.

The Rangers haven't scored in their last 15 innings. They are missing All-Stars Michael Young (hamstring) and Josh Hamilton (back).

Texas has been a big under team all season. The under has cashed 20 of the past 28 times the Rangers have been favored. The under also is 37-15-2 in Texas' last 54 road contests.

Carrasco is a right-hander. Texas is 42-19-4 to the under in its last 65 games versus a right-handed starter.

There are also strong under trends for Cleveland. The Indians are 21-7-1 to the under in their last 29 home games. The under has cashed seven of the past eight times Cleveland has been a home underdog.
1♦ UNDER (HUNTER/CARRASCO)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dominic Fazzini

Rain washed this play out Monday, but I'm sticking with it as it now becomes Game 1 of today's doubleheader.

Rangers starter Tommy Hunter (7-3, 3.14 ERA) has been solid all season, and he had his best outing of the season at Cleveland on Aug. 12, allowing six hits in 7 2/3 scoreless innings.

The rookie right-hander has pitched like a veteran on the road, going 2-1 with a 2.20 ERA in five starts away from Arlington this year. He is also 7-2 with a 2.90 ERA on grass this season.

Indians starter Carlos Carrasco (0-1, 18.00) was rocked early and often in his first major league outing last Tuesday at Detroit, allowing six runs and nine hits in three innings, including four runs and six hits in the first.

The rookie right-hander, who was acquired from Philadelphia on July 27 in the Cliff Lee trade, might fare better today, but I don't expect him to better Hunter, even with Michael Young and Josh Hamilton out of the Texas lineup.

Here's something to think about with this game now becoming the first game of a doubleheader: Texas has swept both twinbills it has played this year, and is 13-4-6 in doubleheaders over the past 15 years. That just backs up my play from Monday. Take the Rangers in Game 1 today.
3♦ TEXAS (GAME 1)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Maxwell

Tonight's Bonus Play winner comes to you from New York as I go with the Yankees to continue rolling and easily take care of the Rays.

How done are the Rays? They just got their asses kicked in a doubleheader against the Yankees on Monday, getting outscored 15-2. This team has packed it in and is playing this final month of the season with no emotion.

Meanwhile the Yankees are looking to leave no doubt they are the best team in baseball and streaking toward the finish line and the playoffs.

Chad Gaudin is making his third start in a Yankees' uniform and they've won his first two, an Aug. 19 start in Oakland and a Sept. 3 start in Toronto. He's no stranger to the Rays, facing them twice in 2007, including an August start that year when he allowed just one run in seven innings of a 12-2 win for the A's as he struck out 10 and walked just two.

Rays' starter David Price (7-7, 4.75 ERA) is just 1-4 when he pitches on the road with a 6.81 ERA. The youngster has good stuff, but he gets a little ahead of himself when he pitches on the road. He gave up four runs in 5.1 innings at home to the Red Sox on Thursday in a 6-3 loss.

New York has not been a fun place for the Rays as they are just 24-57 in their last 81 trips to the Big Apple. The Yankees are on a bunch of hot streaks, including 51-18 overall and 41-13 at home.

Love the Yanks tonight. Lay the chalk and play New York.
4? N.Y. YANKEES

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Football tutor: Teddy's NFC betting tidbits
By TED SEVRANSKY - Direct From Vegas: Sports Investing for long term profits

Teddy spends every Sunday typing furiously at his laptop as he watches the games, giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps simply don’t have. This week he passes along his observations on a few NFC teams.

San Francisco Bay Blues

Dre Bly is penciled in as the starting cornerback opposite Nate Clements, with Walt Harris out for the season. Don’t forget Bly was a big part of the Broncos late season collapse last December; a weak link in the secondary.

Barry Sims is now the projected starting right tackle, another area of weakness. This offense isn't very sexy - a dink and dunk short passing game with mediocre receivers and one of the weaker starting quarterbacks in the league will do that.

Bucs man sinking ship

It’s hard to be impressed with Byron Leftwich. He's holding the ball way too long, the cause of his problems throughout his career, and he's throwing the ball too high and hard. He missed open receivers, while delivering almost as many crisp throws that were right on the money. That’s too inconsistent for my betting blood.

Watch for early season special teams miscues - based on this performance, new head coach Raheem Morris hasn't put a ton of emphasis on special teams just yet.

Born to run

The Arizona defense was tremendous, picking up right where it left off in the playoffs thanks to a fierce pass rush. We definitely saw more of a push up front from the running game here. Tim Hightower was far more productive than he was at any point last year and Beanie Wells looks like another true running back stud. Expect this offense to be far more two dimensional in ’09.

Falcons to soar over total lines this season

Atlanta has a very young secondary and it showed. On one drive, the Falcons allowed four separate third down conversions of a dozen yards or longer, including a touchdown pass on third and 24.

The secondary got torched repeatedly, despite being in excellent down-and-distance situations.

Atlanta has all the makings of a real over bet team this year. The club owes a potent offense and a suspect defense. Very impressed with the skill position talent here - they are loaded with playmakers. We're not going to see a sophomore slump from Matt Ryan.

Giant void in New York

The red zone offense has been a problem throughout the preseason, just as it was a problem down the stretch for the G-Men last year. Will these young receivers step up? As a group, they did fine catching little slants, but Steve Smith dropped a potential 90 yard touchdown catch on the Giants first shot downfield. Manning's interception came on a perfectly thrown ball that Domenick Hixon couldn't reel in. The departed WR duo of Burress and Toomer had 263 career starts. Entering ’09, the Giants have 19 career starts returning from the entire receiving corps.

Toothless Lions

This defense looks awful, particularly against the pass. Just like last week (and last year), there are wide open receivers downfield on nearly every passing play. And, just like last year, Detroit was down by a couple of touchdowns by the end of the first quarter.

Matthew Stafford threw a pick on his first pass attempt against a first-string defense and almost threw another pick on his second pass attempt. RB Kevin Smith was hit repeatedly in the backfield and was unable to find room to run. Don’t be fooled by any preseason final scores – with the starters on the field, the Lions looked like the worst team in the league.

Same old Saints

The No. 1 ranked offense last year scored three touchdowns on three drives with the starters on the field. But the starting defense looks much like last year's - soft, with lots of missed tackles. They were particularly vulnerable stopping the run right up the gut, between the tackles. The cornerbacks looked a bit better, with a healthy Tracy Porter back in the lineup and Darren Sharper can still defend the pass as well as most safeties in the league.

Drowning birds

The Seahawks offensive line isn't opening up any holes for the running game at all, bad news for new coordinator Greg Knapp's ball control offense. They miss O-linemen Walter Jones and Chris Spencer. Mike Wahle retired before training camp, meaning that we’re looking at three new OL starters to open the season.

I'm not impressed with the defensive line either. The unit allowed chunks of yardage on the ground against a team with a limited downfield passing game.

Will kicking be a problem here? Three FG attempts missed between Olindo Mare and Brandon Coutu.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB LONG SHEET

Tuesday, September 8

PHILADELPHIA (77 - 58) at WASHINGTON (47 - 90) - 7:05 PM
PEDRO MARTINEZ (R) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MARTINEZ is 70-63 (-49.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 119-123 (+29.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-10 (+12.1 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 70-60 (+18.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 180-131 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-27 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-22 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-24 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 66-46 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-37 (+15.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-90 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 28-41 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-14 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-36 (-18.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 47-87 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 29-68 (-32.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 37-70 (-23.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-52 (-25.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-44 (-22.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LANNAN is 20-39 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LANNAN is 12-29 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 (+6.9 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

PEDRO MARTINEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MARTINEZ is 4-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.115.
His team's record is 5-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+1.0 units)

JOHN LANNAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LANNAN is 0-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.89 and a WHIP of 1.691.
His team's record is 1-6 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.9 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (69 - 67) at PITTSBURGH (54 - 82) - 7:05 PM
RYAN DEMPSTER (R) vs. ZACH DUKE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 69-67 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-27 (-8.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-40 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-37 (-18.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 69-67 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-40 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-18 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 515-482 (-103.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DEMPSTER is 9-16 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 3-8 (-8.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 9-16 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 3-11 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 36-32 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 28-21 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 264-278 (+32.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DEMPSTER is 43-32 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 54-82 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 20-42 (-19.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 53-80 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 21-56 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 7-2 (+4.3 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
DEMPSTER is 4-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.93 and a WHIP of 1.671.
His team's record is 7-8 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-11. (-9.9 units)

ZACH DUKE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DUKE is 4-7 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.354.
His team's record is 6-10 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-7. (-0.8 units)

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FLORIDA (72 - 65) at NY METS (62 - 75) - 7:10 PM
RICK VANDENHURK (R) vs. TIM REDDING (R)
Top Trends for this game.
REDDING is 24-21 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 16-11 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 24-21 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 72-65 (+4.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 86-67 (+23.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 72-73 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 41-26 (+25.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 85-81 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
FLORIDA is 17-10 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 152-137 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 110-104 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 108-103 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 78-64 (+20.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 54-72 (-30.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 28-34 (-18.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 15-19 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 98-96 (-28.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 25-37 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 7-5 (+1.6 Units) against NY METS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

RICK VANDENHURK vs. NY METS since 1997
VANDENHURK is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 7.88 and a WHIP of 1.625.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TIM REDDING vs. FLORIDA since 1997
REDDING is 5-5 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.485.
His team's record is 6-7 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-4. (+3.8 units)

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ATLANTA (70 - 67) at HOUSTON (67 - 70) - 8:05 PM
JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R) vs. FELIPE PAULINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 70-67 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 35-41 (-18.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 70-67 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 50-48 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 42-49 (-21.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 74-80 (-18.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-29 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 67-70 (+2.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 51-42 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 86-61 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 65-69 (+0.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 107-104 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 52-54 (+1.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 81-71 (+15.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 75-77 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-3 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 51-24 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 2-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.356.
His team's record is 3-9 (-6.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-1.1 units)

FELIPE PAULINO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
PAULINO is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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ST LOUIS (82 - 57) at MILWAUKEE (66 - 71) - 8:05 PM
JOHN SMOLTZ (R) vs. MANNY PARRA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 82-57 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 82-57 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 56-33 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 44-22 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 66-71 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-35 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-19 (-11.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-21 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-14 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 66-68 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 47-55 (-14.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 9-19 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-6 (+0.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

JOHN SMOLTZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SMOLTZ is 3-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 0.942.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

MANNY PARRA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PARRA is 2-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.423.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.6 units)

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CINCINNATI (63 - 74) at COLORADO (78 - 60) - 8:40 PM
MATT MALONEY (L) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 78-60 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 78-60 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 176-154 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 138-110 (+20.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 481-560 (+48.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 419-505 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 319-365 (+35.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 48-51 (+5.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MARQUIS is 10-21 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 57-75 (-39.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 61-66 (-32.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 29-41 (-30.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

MATT MALONEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

JASON MARQUIS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MARQUIS is 6-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.434.
His team's record is 8-6 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+1.6 units)

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LA DODGERS (82 - 57) at ARIZONA (61 - 78) - 9:40 PM
CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R) vs. BILLY BUCKNER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 156-167 (-45.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 82-57 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 33-11 (+21.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-28 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA DODGERS are 16-7 (+9.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-20 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 82-57 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 61-78 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 23-39 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 31-36 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 16-23 (-10.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 136-159 (-46.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 61-78 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 103-106 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 102-113 (-24.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-39 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 10-6 (+1.9 Units) against ARIZONA this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.7 Units)

CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 6-5 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.387.
His team's record is 7-5 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.8 units)

BILLY BUCKNER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
BUCKNER is 1-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

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SAN DIEGO (61 - 78) at SAN FRANCISCO (76 - 62) - 10:15 PM
KEVIN CORREIA (R) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 124-176 (-39.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 53-97 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 124-176 (-39.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-64 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-50 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 76-62 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-21 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-7 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 76-62 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-42 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-47 (+7.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 41-27 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 47-53 (+5.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CORREIA is 16-12 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 19-10 (+15.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 16-12 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 29-21 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 12-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 9-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 7-6 (+1.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CORREIA is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LINCECUM is 4-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.67 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.6 units)

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TEXAS (76 - 60) at CLEVELAND (60 - 76) - 8:05 PM
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. AARON LAFFEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 14-34 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 76-60 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 27-20 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 71-77 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-17 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 73-54 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 56-44 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 60-76 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-36 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 53-68 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-48 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 43-59 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-25 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-1 (+4.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MCCARTHY is 4-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.326.
His team's record is 4-2 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.0 units)

AARON LAFFEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
LAFFEY is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.17 and a WHIP of 1.885.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (72 - 66) at NY YANKEES (89 - 50) - 7:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. CHAD GAUDIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 72-66 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 29-40 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-35 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TAMPA BAY is 0-8 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 30-37 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 12-20 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 89-50 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 58-29 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 77-55 (+24.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 124-85 (+27.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 226-148 (-60.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-5 (+0.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PRICE is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CHAD GAUDIN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GAUDIN is 1-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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MINNESOTA (69 - 68) at TORONTO (61 - 76) - 7:07 PM
BRIAN DUENSING (L) vs. RICKY ROMERO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 20-28 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 16-4 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
MINNESOTA is 110-88 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 96-65 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 61-76 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 19-26 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TORONTO is 33-49 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 18-26 (-9.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 26-44 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 13-28 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

BRIAN DUENSING vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

RICKY ROMERO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
ROMERO is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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BALTIMORE (56 - 81) at BOSTON (79 - 58) - 7:10 PM
DAVID HERNANDEZ (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 38-84 (-33.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 20-35 (-14.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 87-157 (-46.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 25-60 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 103-49 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-21 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 162-100 (+30.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 74-34 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 74-33 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-15 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 85-45 (+27.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 6-13 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 9-16 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-2 (+8.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

DAVID HERNANDEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.412.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 1-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 7.08 and a WHIP of 1.574.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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DETROIT (75 - 61) at KANSAS CITY (52 - 85) - 8:10 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. BRUCE CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 64-86 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 57-65 (-21.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 20-12 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 75-61 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 70-53 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PORCELLO is 16-7 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 52-85 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 44-73 (-22.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 6-21 (-13.0 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 27-44 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 11-22 (-11.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 11-19 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
KANSAS CITY is 46-75 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 35-55 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 17-25 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 10-27 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 8-4 (+3.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.4 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 0.917.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

BRUCE CHEN vs. DETROIT since 1997
CHEN is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

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OAKLAND (61 - 76) at CHI WHITE SOX (69 - 70) - 8:11 PM
BRETT TOMKO (R) vs. CAROLS TORRES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-13 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 94-59 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 64-58 (+3.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 65-39 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 82-56 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-3 (+1.7 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

BRETT TOMKO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
TOMKO is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CAROLS TORRES vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (72 - 66) at LA ANGELS (81 - 55) - 10:05 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 3-15 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 81-55 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 22-11 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 74-47 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 120-88 (+17.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 74-44 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 82-60 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KAZMIR is 22-6 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 14-2 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 72-66 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 19-11 (+10.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 69-62 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 49-48 (+2.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 39-27 (+13.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HERNANDEZ is 19-7 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 10-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 29-15 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 20-8 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 27-16 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 18-23 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 9-7 (+3.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 4-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.397.
His team's record is 8-7 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-3.7 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. SEATTLE since 1997
KAZMIR is 3-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)

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TEXAS (76 - 60) at CLEVELAND (60 - 76) - 5:05 PM
TOMMY HUNTER (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 76-60 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 27-20 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 71-77 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-17 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 73-54 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 56-44 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 48-37 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 79-65 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 60-76 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-36 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 53-68 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-48 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 43-59 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-39 (-18.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-25 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-1 (+4.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

TOMMY HUNTER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HUNTER is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.782.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.